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Широв Александр
Aleksandr Shirov
Deputy Director, Head of the Analysis, Production Potential Forecasting and Cross industry Cooperation Lab, Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Quotes
03.10.2018
Russian Energy Week 2018
Geopolitical Scenarios and the Fuel and Energy Complex: The New Reality
The key factor is that we need scenarios, including the development of the global energy industry, the Russian energy industry, to understand how energy affects the economy, what direct and reverse links are being formed here, and then change the economic policy
03.10.2018
Russian Energy Week 2018
Geopolitical Scenarios and the Fuel and Energy Complex: The New Reality
For the past two years, large research groups have been working on a strategy for the development of the Russian economy. In these projects, the energy sector and its impact on the economy received undeservedly little attention. Unfortunately, we only gradually began to consider the energy sector in terms of tax revenues and ever less look at how it impacts the development of the economy, the generation of demand, and in the end, what can we get from it in the future
03.10.2018
Russian Energy Week 2018
Geopolitical Scenarios and the Fuel and Energy Complex: The New Reality
Macroeconomic forecasting and macroeconomic scenario modelling are called to justify the economic policy. A good forecast is the one that leads to real changes in economic policy, for example, to the reduction of the tax burden. Our country needs to know whether the demand for hydrocarbon fuels will decrease. So, according to our estimates, worst-case scenario up to 2040 does not show a decrease, even if 25% of cars and trucks in the world switch to electric motors