A socially oriented non-financial development institution and a major organizer of international conventions, congress, exhibitions, business, social and sporting, public, and cultural events.

The Roscongress Foundation is a socially oriented non-financial development institution and a major organizer of international conventions; exhibitions; and business, public, sporting, and cultural events. It was established in pursuance of a decision by the President of the Russian Federation.

The Foundation was established in 2007 with the aim of facilitating the development of Russia’s economic potential, promoting its national interests, and strengthening the country’s image. One of the roles of the Foundation is to comprehensively evaluate, analyse, and cover issues on the Russian and global economic agendas. It also offers administrative services, provides promotional support for business projects and attracting investment, and helps foster social entrepreneurship and charitable initiatives.

Each year, the Foundation’s events draw participants from 208 countries and territories, with more than 15,000 media representatives working on-site at Roscongress’ various venues. The Foundation benefits from analytical and professional expertise provided by 5000 people working in Russia and abroad. In addition, it works in close cooperation with 159 economic partners; industrialists’ and entrepreneurs’ unions; and financial, trade, and business associations from 75 countries worldwide.

The Roscongress Foundation has Telegram channels in Russian (t.me/Roscongress), English (t.me/RoscongressDirect), and Spanish (t.me/RoscongressEsp). Official website and Information and Analytical System of the Roscongress Foundation: roscongress.org.

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Research
18.09.2020

Nowcasting European Economic Activity Post COVID

A study prepared by analysts of City financial company summarizes estimates of manufacturing recovery in certain European countries (France, Italy, Spain, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Sweden and Poland). Environment pollution index, such as NO2 concentration level, is taken as the key indicator to estimate recovery rate in production capacity. Moreover, the study includes aggregate poll results reflecting business community expectations for manufacturing recovery in the EU countries.

The Roscongress Foundation presents the salient points of the publication accompanied by fragments of broadcasts of relevant panel discussions from the business programme of international events held by the Roscongress Foundation.

In the current situation demanding efficient monitoring, an environment pollution index (nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentration level) is one of the most useful indicators to estimate manufacturing performance in the European countries.

In a view of the pandemic containment measures, industrial production has shown a drastic reduction. Which trend manufacturing sector recovery will show in the immediate future, is crucial. Production volume and industrial output are helpful indicators to evaluate recovery rate, however, they may be outdated due to a two-month delay in publication.

Video:https://roscongress.org/sessions/rew-2018-uluchshenie-ekologii-ugolnoy-promyshlennosti-tekushchee-sostoyanie-i-vozmozhnye-mery-/search/#00:23:05.472

European countries can be characterized by different manufacturing recovery rates: the Netherlands and Spain are recovering relatively faster, while Italy and the United Kingdom demonstrate a slower recovery rate.

European countries, such as France and Germany, show the most drastic change in manufacturing performance. Thus, France tends to a drastic forecasted manufacturing recovery after substantial decrease in March and April 2020. Next to that, despite positive expert estimates, pre-crisis production level can still not be reached: on a year-over-year basis, manufacturing performance is expected to decrease by 10-15% in June 2020.

According to expert estimates, the countries that suffered most from the COVID-19 pandemic, are likely to recover at a slower rate.

Several European countries show a slightly more positive and steady recovery. In the first place, such countries are the Netherlands and Spain. However, the trend in the Netherlands can be explained by a smaller number of COVID-19 cases, and in Spain such trend is characterized by the experts as contradictory, despite far greater losses

Video:https://roscongress.org/sessions/kak-pereyti-ot-zamedleniya-k-novoy-faze-razvitiya/search/#00:49:00.927

Expectations of the European business community concerning manufacturing recovery confirmed by polls as agreed by the European Commission, are mostly positive.

National expectations poll agreed by the European Commission and aggregated at the EU level, is generally a reliable information source that reflects business environment in the region. But at the same time, actual extraordinary economic situation provides for certain risks in terms of appropriate forecasting aptitude in the current crisis situation. Despite disruptions in supply chains and general uncertainty in the situation over the next two months, the polls show that the business community is certain in potential V-shaped recovery.

Video:https://roscongress.org/sessions/mir-v-usloviyakh-pandemii-covid-19-globalnye-strategii/search/#00:38:41.408

For more information about construction as a sector with a sizeable share in many economies, rising level of digitalization, and shifts in consumer sentiment in real estate, please see the COVID-19, StayHomeEconomy, SMEs and Entrepreneurship.

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